Polymarket Whale Who Won $1M on Dortmund Loses $1.1M on Sunday Soccer

A Polymarket trader who made about $1 million on Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League last Wednesday lost about $1.13 million on Sunday, Nov. 8, after backing Manchester United against Aston Villa and betting against Barcelona at Atlético Madrid.

United's game ended in a 4-4 goalfest, with the Red Devils coming back from two goals down in stoppage time but unable to complete the full comeback. Key Takeaways Polymarket trader totoro3miyazaki lost $818,286 on Manchester United, who drew 4-4 with Aston Villa on Nov.

It lost another $297,792 betting against Barcelona, who won 2-1 at Atlético Madrid. The losses came four days after the account made about $1 million on Dortmund's 2-1 win over Real Betis.

A Stoppage-Time Comeback Wasn't Enough for United In 21 trades between 16:06 and 16:30 UTC on Sunday, the scheduled kickoff time, the account totoro3miyazaki bought 1,633,345 shares in Manchester United to win at 48 to 49 cents each, spending about $818,300 including fees, according toits Polymarket profile. Polymarket had United as 48.5% favorites just before kickoff, with Villa at 28.5% and a draw at 23.5%.

Aston Villa scored twice in the first four minutes, and United were level by halftime after a penalty in the 16th minute and a goal in the 44th. Villa went 4-2 up with goals in the 48th and 53rd minutes, and United's price fell below 1 cent late in the game, with a draw at just over 1 cent.

United thenscored in the second and sixth minutes of stoppage timeto draw 4-4, a result that did not materially change the account's win position, netting a loss of $818,286. That evening, the account bet against Barcelona at Atlético Madrid, buying 591,602 "No" shares on a Barcelona win for about $297,800.

Almost all of it, $290,730, went in at 49 cents before the 20:00 UTC kickoff, when Polymarket gave Barcelona a 50.5% chance to win, with about $7,100 more added at 55 cents during the game. Giuliano Simeone put Atlético ahead in the 10th minute, but Fermín Lópezscored twice for a 2-1 Barcelona win, costing the account $297,792.

A smaller bet against Bournemouth, who won 2-1 at Ipswich Town, lost $11,050, bringing Sunday's total to a negative $1,127,128. Four Days After a $1 Million Dortmund Win The losses wiped out a seven-figure win from earlier in the week.

4, the same account bought 2,888,680 Dortmund shares for $1,886,142 in the 10 minutes before the 20:00 UTC kickoff against Real Betis, paying an average of 65.3 cents including fees. Dortmundwon 2-1 in the Champions League, and the position made $1,002,563, according to Polymarket data.